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Daily systematic signals • Calibrated probabilities • Deployment-ready

Systematic Macro Research, with a probability engine.

We build tradeable buckets, calibrate outcome probabilities, and track live performance — every day. Transparent pipeline. Sensible risk. Realistic sizing.

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Latest run summary

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Pipeline

Ingest → Summarize

Prices → runs → per-window summaries (lift, return, signal rate). Stable normalization within cohort.

Keep → Balance

Strong-score targeting with per-instrument soft caps. Coverage before optimization.

Sweep → Select

Prob-sizing sweep across variants. Rank by Sharpe with floors on effective rate & trades.

Calibrate → Deploy

Temperature scaling per (side,H), δ-gate over break-even; daily manifests S1–S3.